Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 105.194798 116.506758 128.019055 140.582496 153.877837 167.501022 182.487152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 87.115587 103.536898 120.937920 140.631718 162.185907 184.951709 210.708000
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 75.063531 94.206757 115.119492 139.419247 166.645407 195.995747 229.816448
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 67.635499 88.957553 112.857422 141.232502 173.622902 209.098396 250.550818
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 61.979323 85.059729 111.531226 143.552416 180.687308 221.898923 270.605684
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 55.300810 79.337720 107.563681 142.351588 183.324390 229.375539 284.392849
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 48.629376 73.076743 102.488186 139.421732 183.586271 233.834501 294.484455
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 46.359155 72.098426 103.615928 143.725749 192.200526 247.819549 315.423151
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 43.774020 70.494725 103.798943 146.742793 199.179961 259.833425 334.047455
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.543658 66.429841 100.656792 145.473336 200.849824 265.494303 345.185291
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.730566 62.652853 97.657689 144.185375 202.334667 270.810010 355.818245
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.220391 60.492066 96.607303 145.226693 206.572234 279.334179 370.185701
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.621100 58.070386 95.134671 145.697613 210.122298 287.097651 383.768933
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 28.441532 56.108992 94.170231 146.743769 214.339718 295.647861 398.300619
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 25.615533 52.977970 91.454252 145.369862 215.408953 300.294314 408.096325
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 24.099208 51.732118 91.255644 147.247219 220.547605 309.885643 423.836665
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 22.857692 50.825202 91.467728 149.625063 226.297051 320.218120 440.482087
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 20.627346 48.167809 89.069936 148.393443 227.335294 324.682757 449.970493
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 18.089057 44.789190 85.468241 145.387286 225.965178 326.071864 455.640158
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 17.740687 45.104929 87.271749 149.803132 234.277149 339.559196 476.154099
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 17.070652 44.808803 88.134469 152.897792 240.853322 350.881692 494.033119
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 15.354856 42.517618 85.902292 151.595752 241.578277 354.808670 502.777893
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 13.772845 40.325900 83.716945 150.274622 242.212499 358.574558 511.291437